Zhejiang-Guangsha-Lions vs Shanxi-Loongs-Fenjiu

Match: Zhejiang-Guangsha-Lions vs Shanxi-Loongs-Fenjiu (CBA QF, May 13, 2026)

Team News: Zhejiang (33-9, 2nd) is defending champ; G2 win (86-81) tied series 1-1. Brown (21.6ppg, 1.9spg) & Hu Jinqu (17p/11r G2) lead; Sun Minghui likely out. Shanxi: G1 win (92-90) but G2 collapse; Diallo (16p/7r) & Zhang Ning (13p) key; Knight struggled (3p). Shanxi fined 50k for fan misconduct.

Head-to-Head: Last 10: Shanxi 7-3; recent split (92-90, 81-86). Total trends: 181-182 avg; G1 O, G2 U.

Odds Analysis (May 13): Moneyline Zhejiang 1.25 (-400) / Shanxi 3.40 (+240). Spread: Zhejiang -7.5 (1.85) / Shanxi +7.5 (1.85). Total: 179.5 O/U 1.85. Market aligns with Zhejiang’s home edge (18-1) & G2 momentum; line is reasonable, no major contradictions.

Handicapping: Key edges—Zhejiang’s interior defense (Hu) restricts Shanxi’s paint; Brown’s clutch scoring; home crowd. Shanxi’s strengths—bench depth (55p G1), Diallo’s penetration, zone defense slowing pace. X-factor: Zhejiang’s 3PT% (35% G2) vs Shanxi’s 28%.

TigerScoresAnalyst Strategies: 1) Zhejiang ML (1.25) , home dominance & G2 form. 2) Under 179.5 –low pace, playoff defense, G2 U trend. 3) Shanxi +7.5 –cover likely if Diallo stays hot & Zhejiang’s 3PT cools. 4) Avoid big spreads—no clear blowout edge; stick to ML/totals.

Conclusion: Zhejiang’s home-court & defensive core make them solid favorites; odds are justified. Prioritize Zhejiang ML or Under 179.5; consider Shanxi +7.5 for value. No extreme contradictions—safe to play aligned picks.