Villarreal CF VS Deportivo Alavés

This Spanish Serie A match will be played on January 10, 2026 at 23:15 (local time) with Villarreal at home to Alaves at the Ceramic Stadium. According to the moneyline odds provided by the user, the home win is 1.48, the draw is 4.20, and the away win is 6.50.

The recent form of Villarreal needs to be analyzed in conjunction with the actual performance of the season, usually as a La Liga powerhouse, the ability to play at home is the key to its point grabbing. As a team that often hovers in the middle and lower reaches, Alaves' away record is often unstable, and defense is the foundation of it.

In the historical head-to-head record between the two teams, Villarreal usually has a clear psychological advantage when playing at home against Alaves, with a high win rate and often controls the pace of the game.

The initial odds given by the odds agency clearly show that the home team is extremely favored. The odds of a home win of 1.48 are at an absolute low, with a theoretical win rate of more than 67%, while the odds of a draw of 4.20 and an away win of 6.50 are both high, especially away wins, which are extremely difficult to play. This odds combination fully reflects the strength positioning, home and away differences, and the huge gap in market expectations.

Based on the above factors, it is a high probability that Villarreal will win at home in this game. The odds are deeply in favor of the home team, and combined with the home advantage of their historical head-to-head meetings and the usual competitive positioning of the two teams, Villarreal is predicted to be able to take the three points smoothly. The course of the game may show a situation where the home team dominates the attack and the away team focuses on defense.

This analysis is for match research purposes only and does not constitute any betting advice. The results of football matches are affected by many factors such as on-site lineups, states, and referees, so please look at them rationally.