Pogon Szczecin VS Motor Lublin

Match Time: 2025-05-15 02:30 (UTC), League: Polish Ekstraklasa. Host: Śląsk Wrocław faces Motolublin at home. Both teams exhibit defensive trends, aligning with the under 3.5 goals market expectation.

Śląsk Wrocław: 2W, 1D, 2L in last 5 matches; under 3.5 goals in 4/5 games. Motolublin: 3W, 2D in last 5; under 3.5 goals in all 5 matches, emphasizing low-scoring consistency.

Last 5 meetings average 2.0 goals/game; under 3.5 goals in 4 encounters. Motolublin won 3 of last 5 clashes, including two 1-0 away victories.

Under 3.5 goals priced at 1.25 (77% implied probability), Motolublin win odds at 0.57 (64% probability) signal extreme market confidence in low-scoring away victory.

Motolublin to edge 1-0; under 3.5 goals expected due to tight defenses and historical scoring patterns. Odds align with tactical conservatism from both sides.

Despite high probability, sub-1.50 odds on both outcomes eliminate value; avoid due to unfavorable risk/reward ratio despite logical predictions.