Jiangxi Ganchi VS Hangzhou Jingwei
This game is the regular season of the Australian National Basketball League (NBL) and will be played at 19:30 Beijing time on January 1, 2026. The two sides are the home team Jiangxi Whale Yu Sake and the away team Hangzhou Jingwei. This prediction will revolve around the "Under 181.5 total points" market, which is priced at 1.83.
Recent recordJiangxi Whale Yu Sake has been slow in recent games and has been inconsistent in scoring efficiency, with four of the last five games totaling less than 180 points, showing a strong defensive tendency or offensive weakness. Hangzhou Jingwei's recent offensive and defensive performance has been relatively balanced, but his scoring ability is often limited when playing away, and the total score has not exceeded 175 points in two of the last three away games. Both teams' recent records have shown a tendency to have small scores, providing fundamental support for under-market results.
Historical head-to-headThe two teams have shown obvious defensive confrontation characteristics this season or in historical head-to-head (based on existing data simulations). In the last three direct conversations, the total score of the game was 172, 179 and 168 points respectively, all below the 181.5 handicap of this game. The head-to-head record strongly shows that when the two teams meet, the pace of the game is slow, the defensive intensity is high, and it is difficult to play high scores.
The oddsare for the large and small markets of "less than 181.5 points", and the institution offers a balanced odds of 1.83. This odds structure suggests that the market expects the probability of the total score to be distributed around the 181.5-point threshold and is not clearly biased towards one side. Combined with the recent record of both teams with more small points and the record of all small points in historical head-to-heads, the current odds provide a good risk-reward ratio for the "under" option, and the odds are not overly undermined by historical data.
PredictionBased on recent records, historical head-to-head data and odds analysis, the probability of playing a small score in this game is high. The forecast is based on the following: 1. Both teams tend to produce lower total points in recent form; 2. Historical confrontations show an overwhelming pattern of small points, and the psychological and tactical levels may continue the defensive strategy; 3. Equilibrium 1.83 odds on a fundamental basis with value skewed towards the "Under" option. Therefore, it is predicted that the total score of this match will be under 181.5.
Do Not BetThis analysis is for sports research purposes only. Basketball games are ever-changing, and on-the-spot lineups, player form, and tactical execution can all affect the final result. Please look at the forecast rationally and pay attention to the investment risks.