Gremio Novorizontino VS Guarani SP

This match is the Brazilian Sao Paulo State Championship, which will be played at 06:00 Beijing time on January 14, 2026, with Novali Santino hosting Guarani in Brazil. According to the moneyline odds provided by the user, the home win is 1.67, the draw is 3.40, and the away win is 5.50.

Nova Lisantino, as the dark horse of last season's state championship, is usually resilient at home and organized on defense. Brazil's Guarani's form has fluctuated greatly in recent years, and his away combat ability is his obvious shortcoming, and the number of goals conceded is often high. Specific to this season's pre-holiday preparations and warm-up performance, it is necessary to pay attention to the run-in and competitive state of the two teams in the new season.

the two teams have met each other in the state tournament a limited number of times in the past. Judging from the limited record, Novali Santino has a certain psychological advantage at home against Guarani in Brazil, and the winning rate is relatively high. When Brazil's Guarani challenged Novali Santino away, there were not many ways to attack and it was difficult to achieve the desired result.

The initial odds offered by the odds agency clearly point to the home team's advantage. The odds of a home win of 1.67 are low, combined with the high values of a draw of 3.40 and an away win of 5.50, indicating that the market has strong confidence in Nova Lisantino to win at home. With this odds combination, the probability of a draw and an away win is significantly underestimated.

Comprehensive fundamentals and data analysis, Novali Santino has a clear advantage in home advantage, historical head-to-head psychology and odds support. Brazil's weakness in Guarani's lack of away ability is expected to be amplified. Therefore, the direction of this game is more inclined to Novali Santino to dominate the situation with home advantage, and the most likely result is that the home team wins.

This analysis is for match research purposes only and does not constitute any betting advice. Please enjoy sports events rationally.