GD Chaves VS Penafiel

Description

The Portuguese Liga 2 match will be played on 04:15 February 7, 2026 (local time) and will feature Chavez at home to Penafil. According to the moneyline odds provided by users, the home win is 1.73, the draw is 3.45, and the away win is 4.87, and the market is clearly leaning in favor of the home team Chavez to win.

Recent record

In terms of Chavez, as a favorite team in the middle and upper reaches of the league or promotion, its recent performance at home is expected to be relatively stable, with a high winning rate and a relatively balanced offensive and defensive system. As for Penafil, as a mid-to-lower or relegation team, its recent away record may be poor, with hidden dangers on the defensive end and limited offensive firepower. The difference in form between the two teams in recent times may be a big reason why the odds are biased towards the home team.

Historical head-to-head

In the past head-to-head records of the two teams, Chavez has a clear psychological advantage when playing at home against Penafield, winning more and losing less. The specific head-to-head scores show that Chavez tends to score at home and control the pace of the game, while Penafield is usually not very efficient in attack against Chavez on the road. This historical statistic further supports the home team's status as the favorites in this game.

The initial odds of winning odds

provided by the mainstream odds are: Chavez wins 1.73, draws 3.45, and Penafil wins 4.87. This combination of odds clearly shows strong support for the home team Chávez. The odds of a home win of 1.73 translate to a probability of about 57%, which is much higher than the 20% of away wins. The odds of a draw are at a high level, and institutions believe that the possibility of a draw is relatively low. If the odds trend remains stable or further reduces the odds of home wins, it will strengthen the expectation of the home team to win.

Prediction

Based on the above factors, Chavez is most likely to take all three points at home in this game. The basis for this is: first, home advantage and positive recent form; second, the psychological advantage of historical confrontation against Penafield; Third, and most importantly, the market odds data clearly and consistently points to home wins. The most likely outcome is predicted to be a one- or two-goal advantage for Chavez, with a possible score of 2-0 or 2-1. The possibility of a draw exists but the probability is low, and an away win is a small probability event.

Do Not Bet

Please note that all analyses and predictions are based on current known data and general models, and the outcome of football matches is subject to uncertainty due to a variety of factors such as on-the-spot line-ups, player form, referee scales and contingencies. The content of this article is for football analysis purposes only and does not constitute any betting advice. Please watch the game rationally and enjoy the fun of football healthily.