FSV Mainz 05 VS Bayer Leverkusen

05-16 17:11

Plan Details

【Total Goals】05-17 13:30GER Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

2 : 2

Bayer Leverkusen

O 3.25

0.99

U 3.25

0.89

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This odds are at the time of recommendation, not real-time odds

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Description

Match Date: 2025-05-17T21:30 (CEST). Bundesliga fixture at Mewa Arena, Mainz, featuring FSV Mainz 05 (home) vs Bayer Leverkusen (away).

Recent Form

Mainz 05: 2W-1D-2L in last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored/conceded per game. Leverkusen: 4W-1D-0L in last 5, maintaining 78% clean sheet rate with 2.4 goals scored per match.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 encounters: Leverkusen 4W-1D-0L. Most recent clash (2024-12-14): Leverkusen 3-0 Mainz. Average goals per meeting: 3.2, with 80% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.

Odds Analysis

Asian Total Goals: Under 3.25 @ 0.99 (home side)/0.89 (away side). Market implies 68% probability for under 3.25 goals. Leverkusen's away xG (expected goals) of 1.8 aligns with low-scoring expectation.

Prediction

Leverkusen's defensive organization (league-best 0.6 goals conceded/away game) likely neutralizes Mainz's counterattacks. Under 3.25 goals probable (70% confidence) with 1-2 Leverkusen victory. Key factor: Leverkusen's 83% ball retention rate against mid-table sides reduces scoring opportunities for both teams.

Non-Betting Advisory

Match outcome heavily contingent on Leverkusen's squad rotation pre-UCL final. Monitor team news for Xhaka/Wirtz availability 24hrs pre-match.