A.D.Sousas Ourense VS Lucentum Alicante

This match is the regular season of the Spanish Basketball League (LEB Oro) and will be played at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on February 8, 2026. The two sides are Club Ourense Baloncesto at home and Aligante (Alicante) visiting away. This prediction is analysed for the Over/Under 164.5 market, which offers odds of 1.88 (under) and 1.82 (over) respectively.

Ourense's recent record: It is necessary to analyze the trend of scoring and conceding goals in the last 5-10 games, especially at home. Focus on whether its offensive efficiency is stable, how strong its defense is, and whether the total score in recent games tends to be big or small, which helps to judge the pace of the game.

Alleghendy's recent record: It is necessary to analyze the trend of scoring and conceding goals in the last 5-10 games, especially the away performance. Pay attention to its stability on the offensive end and resilience on the defensive end, as well as whether the pace of the game is fast or slow, which directly affects the total score of the game.

Comprehensive trend: Compare the recent total points scored by both teams (such as total points per game, home/away total points per game) with the 164.5-point market line to evaluate the reasonableness of the current market setting.

head-to-head records: It is necessary to retrieve the head-to-head records of the two teams over the past few seasons, focusing on the total points scored in the last 3-5 matchups. Analyzing whether historical head-to-head matches tend to be high-score offensive or low-score defensive battles can reveal the habitual rhythm of the two teams when they face each other.

Style restraint: Analyze whether there is mutual restraint in the tactical styles of both teams, such as whether one side can effectively suppress the other's fast break or three-pointer, which is often a key factor in small points.

market depth: 164.5 points is a relatively high score threshold in the Spanish second division, indicating that the institution has certain expectations for the potential offensive firepower of the two teams, but setting a high threshold also means that there is some room for small points.

Odds Analysis: Under 164.5 is 1.88, over 164.5 is 1.82. This odds structure shows that institutions are slightly inclined towards the "greater than" direction, but the difference between the two is not large, the market view is relatively balanced, and there is no absolute hot spot. The odds of 1.88 on the "under" side offer higher returns, suggesting that the probability of playing is considered slightly lower than "over" by institutions, but it is not without opportunities.

Water level changes: Pay attention to the water level changes of the on-the-spot odds (especially the over/under odds). If the "under" odds continue to decline or remain high but the trading volume is active, it may reflect the support of market funds or information for the small score.

on the above analysis, the prediction logic is as follows: 1. If both teams' recent records show solid defense, slow pace of the game, and an average total score of less than 164.5 points per game, the probability of small points is high. 2. If the historical head-to-head has scored many small points, and the recent form continues to be defensive, the possibility of small points will be further strengthened. 3. The current odds of 1.88 are worth investing in small scores, especially in the context of the high threshold (164.5 points) set by institutions in the early stages. Overall, if the data supports a defensive orientation and a slow pace, "less than 164.5 points" is an option worth considering.

This analysis is for data purposes only and does not constitute any betting advice. The outcome of sports events is affected by various factors such as on-the-spot status, player injuries, and tactical adjustments, and there is uncertainty. Please look at the forecast rationally, abide by relevant laws and regulations, and participate in sports and entertainment healthily.