The Premier League relegation battle analysed: Where race to beat drop will be won and lost

With less than three months left in the Premier League season, at least six teams are battling to avoid relegation. Wolverhampton Wanderers are almost certain to go down, needing just one more point to match Derby County's record-low 11 points from 2007-08. However, Burnley and West Ham United have shown signs of life, suggesting they might not be completely cut adrift.

This season's relegation fight is more intense than last year's, when the bottom teams were relegated with a combined total of 59 points—the lowest in Premier League history. According to Opta's projections, the current bottom three are still expected to go down in 70% of simulations, but unexpected twists are likely as pressure mounts on clubs like Nottingham Forest, Tottenham Hotspur, and Leeds United.

The fixture list plays a crucial role in the relegation battle. Leeds United have the easiest remaining schedule based on Opta's Power Rankings, with several home games that could help them pull away from danger. In contrast, West Ham face difficult away matches against Liverpool and Newcastle United, as well as hosting the current top two teams.

whether Wolverhampton Wanderers, Burnley, and West Ham will fade away as expected or if any of them can stage a comeback.

Leeds United, currently in 15th place with a six-point cushion above the relegation zone, are considered the safest among the clubs discussed. Beyond their points advantage, there are multiple reasons for optimism about their survival chances.

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